New electoral college model, according to Nate Silver (no tossup).
Trump – 312
Harris – 226
Be careful about getting complacent over Nate Silver’s prediction models. In Oct of 2016, Nate had Hilary winning 343 to 294 EC Votes.
The day before the 2016 Election Nate’s model had predicted Hilary had a 71.4% chance of winning to Trump’s 28% chance with 302 Electoral votes to 235.
Time will tell.